Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:02:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4b05…39e4
crypto · 182 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$24 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses142 / 39
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)181 / 182
History coverage30d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day17.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 181 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$88
7 days+$88
14 days+$88
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 91¢ 100¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $7 +$5 +73%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $7 +$2 +23%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $21 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $28 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$6 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $29 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$16 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$9 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$7 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$41 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $30 +$2 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$36
sports 1% +$11
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 91¢ $7 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 99¢ $7 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 95¢ $7 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 81¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 93¢ $7 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 85¢ $7 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 82¢ $7 2h
Canada leading at halftime? BUY No 98¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 98¢ $7 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $0 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 +11.8% +1.2% 92% 34% -0.6%
≤30d 138 -7.8% -16.6% 75% 17% -10.1%
≤90d 181 -5.9% -14.9% 78% 14% -10.1%
all 181 -5.9% -14.9% 78% 14% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.9% 14% -10.1%
10% -23.0% 7% -18.7%
15% -30.5% 4% -26.5%
20% -37.3% 2% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.69 · official $7.69 (match) · 598 history records