Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:59:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4b1d…ccb2
crypto · 1698 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14,232 -72%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14,231 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$14,231
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses1532 / 513
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2045 / 1698
History coverage3d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day571.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 2045 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14,270
7 days−$14,231
14 days−$14,231
30 days−$14,231
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 91¢ 81¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$66
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $23 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-22.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2045 -14.7% -22.8% 75% 10% -47.5%
≤30d 2045 -14.7% -22.8% 75% 10% -47.5%
≤90d 2045 -14.7% -22.8% 75% 10% -47.5%
all 2045 -14.7% -22.8% 75% 10% -47.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover571.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.8% 10% -47.5%
10% ← realistic here -30.2% 1% -52.5%
15% -37.0% 0% -57.1%
20% -43.1% 0% -61.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.95 · official $6.42 · 3500 history records