Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:12:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4b3d…7e2a
crypto · 1467 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$731 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$731 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$731
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses1177 / 528
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1705 / 1467
History coverage4d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day596.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 7 History 1705 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$789
7 days−$731
14 days−$731
30 days−$731
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 74¢ 94¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+26%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 59¢ 42¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-30%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 61¢ 40¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-35%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 0¢ 56¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 0¢ 50¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 0¢ 70¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -170%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% +$288
other 10% +$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 3m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 5m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 7m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 7m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 10m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 14m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 15m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 20m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 20m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 20m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-22.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1705 -14.5% -22.7% 69% 58% -19.7%
≤30d 1705 -14.5% -22.7% 69% 58% -19.7%
≤90d 1705 -14.5% -22.7% 69% 58% -19.7%
all 1705 -14.5% -22.7% 69% 58% -19.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover596.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.7% 58% -19.7%
10% ← realistic here -30.1% 30% -27.4%
15% -36.8% 8% -34.4%
20% -43.0% 3% -40.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.80 · official $17.09 · 3500 history records