Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:13:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4b40…d1f8
crypto · 687 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$10,790 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10,736 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$10,736
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses433 / 551
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)984 / 687
History coverage12d
Avg bet$152
Trades / day255.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 984 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15,693
7 days−$12,410
14 days−$10,736
30 days−$10,736
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $65 −$56 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $139 −$139 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $122 −$122 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $132 −$132 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $157 −$157 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$5,998
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $15 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $17 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $6 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $93 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $0 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $83 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $314 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $80 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $97 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $97 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $38 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $34 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $195 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-36.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 797 -42.0% -47.5% 36% 21% -23.4%
≤30d 984 -30.2% -36.8% 44% 25% -17.9%
≤90d 984 -30.2% -36.8% 44% 25% -17.9%
all 984 -30.2% -36.8% 44% 25% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover255.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.8% 25% -17.9%
10% ← realistic here -42.9% 19% -25.7%
15% -48.4% 16% -32.9%
20% -53.4% 14% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records