Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:31:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4b8e…05a9
crypto · 1099 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$411 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$407 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$54
Realized−$407
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses661 / 528
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1189 / 1099
History coverage5d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day586.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 1 History 1189 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,417
7 days−$407
14 days−$407
30 days−$407
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $5 $15 +$10 (+188%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+14%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+30%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+59%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 43¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+133%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 41¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+144%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 38¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+163%)
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 35¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+186%)
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 20¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+400%)
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 31¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+223%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 23¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+335%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+22%)
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 83¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+20%)
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+22%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+156%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+85%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+67%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 28¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+257%)
BNB Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+56%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 57¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+75%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +59%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +133%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +144%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +163%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +92%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +186%
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +400%
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +223%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +335%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +156%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +257%
BNB Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +96%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +138%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +96%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +72%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +82%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +163%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +56%
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +150%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +133%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +113%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +19%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +49%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 5AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +59%
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +355%
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +178%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +64%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +117%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +78%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +122%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +39%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +258%
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +233%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +16%
BNB Up or Down - April 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 66% +$1,188
other 34% +$460
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 16m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 40m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 46m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 50m
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 54m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 59m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 1h
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1189 +0.5% -9.0% 56% 54% -14.6%
≤30d 1189 +0.5% -9.0% 56% 54% -14.6%
≤90d 1189 +0.5% -9.0% 56% 54% -14.6%
all 1189 +0.5% -9.0% 56% 54% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover586.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 54% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 45% -22.8%
15% -25.7% 35% -30.2%
20% -33.0% 26% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $53.86 · official $25.02 · 3500 history records