trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +43.9% | +30.2% | 89% | 78% | +16.9% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +43.9% | +30.2% | 89% | 78% | +16.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +43.9% | +30.2% | 89% | 78% | +16.9% |
| all | 9 | +43.9% | +30.2% | 89% | 78% | +16.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +30.2% | 78% | +16.9% |
| 10% | +17.7% | 78% | +5.7% |
| 15% | +6.3% | 56% | -4.5% |
| 20% | -4.1% | 56% | -13.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12? | Yes | 59¢ | 58¢ | $590 | $585 | −$5 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Japan (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $20 | +$16 | +79% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5 | Jun 21 | $10 | +$8 | +76% |
| Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? | Jun 19 | $1,136 | +$641 | +56% |
| Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary electio | Jun 19 | $790 | +$208 | +26% |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Jun 19 | $1,995 | +$605 | +30% |
| Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral El | Jun 18 | $1,179 | +$18 | +2% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $10 | +$14 | +134% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$9 | +91% |