Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:46:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4ba6…bad9
crypto · 42 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses25 / 17
Open positions0
Markets (closed)42 / 42
History coverage1d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day105.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 42 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$14
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$7 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$9 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$8 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$5 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $13 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $11 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $12 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $9 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $13 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $8 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $11 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $12 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $12 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $12 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $10 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -7.3% -16.1% 60% 48% -12.9%
≤30d 42 -7.3% -16.1% 60% 48% -12.9%
≤90d 42 -7.3% -16.1% 60% 48% -12.9%
all 42 -7.3% -16.1% 60% 48% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover105.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.1% 48% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 31% -21.3%
15% -31.5% 21% -28.9%
20% -38.2% 14% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 120 history records