trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +10.7% | +0.1% | 14% | 14% | -8.1% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +10.7% | +0.1% | 14% | 14% | -8.1% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +10.7% | +0.1% | 14% | 14% | -8.1% |
| all | 27 | -44.9% | -50.2% | 15% | 11% | -15.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -50.2% | 11% | -15.2% |
| 10% | -54.9% | 11% | -23.4% |
| 15% | -59.3% | 11% | -30.8% |
| 20% | -63.3% | 11% | -37.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $390 | $390 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $310 | $310 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $210 | $210 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 22 | $210 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 22 | $300 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 22 | $400 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 22 | $210 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 22 | $330 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 22 | $380 | $0 | -0% |
| Suns vs. Mavericks | Jun 20 | $43 | +$32 | +75% |
| Utah vs. Sabres | Nov 04 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Lightning vs. Capitals | Oct 14 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Chargers vs. Raiders | Sep 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Colorado vs. Houston | Sep 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Marlins vs. Nationals | Sep 01 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Nationals vs. Yankees | Aug 26 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Falcons vs. Cowboys | Aug 26 | $8 | +$6 | +72% |
| Pirates vs. Brewers | Aug 13 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Marlins vs. Guardians | Aug 12 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? | May 08 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 09 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Apr 07 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | Mar 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? | Feb 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Leicester City wins the Premier League? | Feb 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | Feb 10 | $105 | +$151 | +144% |
| Rockets vs. Timberwolves | Feb 07 | $113 | −$113 | -100% |
| Heat vs. 76ers | Feb 06 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting? | Feb 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Hawks | Nov 26 | $41 | −$41 | -100% |