Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:42:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4bb7…a8f4
crypto · 7 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$8 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 7
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day13.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 0 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -9%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -10%
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -91%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $5 −$1 -11%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$1 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 40% −$6
other 30% −$1
sports 30% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 54¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 55¢ $5 1h
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? SELL No 90¢ $5 1h
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? BUY No 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $4 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 63¢ $5 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 65¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 79¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 84¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-32.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -24.9% -32.1% 0% 0% -30.1%
≤30d 7 -24.9% -32.1% 0% 0% -30.1%
≤90d 7 -24.9% -32.1% 0% 0% -30.1%
all 7 -24.9% -32.1% 0% 0% -30.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -32.1% 0% -30.1%
10% -38.6% 0% -36.8%
15% -44.5% 0% -42.9%
20% -49.9% 0% -48.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 13 history records