Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:01:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4bbc…690d
crypto · 132 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$83 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$90
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses59 / 73
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)132 / 132
History coverage29d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day9.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 0 History 132 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$51
14 days−$84
30 days−$90
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May? No 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Krawietz/Puetz vs Balaji/Demoliner Krawietz/Puetz 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$5 +490%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$5 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 Jun 13 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -19%
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Jun 11 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +94%
Valencia vs. Joventut Jun 10 $1 $0 +14%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 10 $1 $0 +31%
Lokomotiv Kuban vs. BC Zenit Jun 09 $1 +$1 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$2 -56%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 62% −$81
sports 28% +$3
other 7% −$8
politics 1% −$1
world 1% −$2
finance 1% −$1
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-26.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -6.4% -15.3% 45% 34% -44.5%
≤30d 132 -18.4% -26.2% 45% 33% -31.7%
≤90d 132 -18.4% -26.2% 45% 33% -31.7%
all 132 -18.4% -26.2% 45% 33% -31.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.2% 33% -31.7%
10% -33.3% 22% -38.2%
15% -39.7% 17% -44.2%
20% -45.6% 12% -49.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 384 history records