Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:47:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4bc5…e563
sports · 157 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$157 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$146 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$146
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses54 / 102
Est. fees paid−$77
Open positions1
Markets (closed)156 / 157
History coverage14d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day89.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 1 History 156 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$65
14 days−$146
30 days−$146
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 58¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+71%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 26¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 26¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 45¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner NRG 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner G2 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Liquid 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner TYLOO 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner MIBR 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner M80 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $142 +$24 +17%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $20 −$6 -27%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $88 −$22 -25%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $16 −$8 -52%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $22 −$7 -32%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $34 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $59 −$1 -2%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $80 −$3 -4%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $77 −$2 -2%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$4 +21%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 +$6 +340%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $22 +$6 +28%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $90 +$46 +51%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $41 −$19 -46%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $39 +$1 +2%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $93 −$2 -2%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $11 +$31 +278%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $22 −$3 -13%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $21 +$3 +15%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $151 −$5 -4%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $65 −$20 -31%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $78 +$30 +38%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 +$4 +21%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $32 −$22 -69%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $13 −$3 -24%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $31 −$1 -3%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $9 −$4 -48%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $10 −$1 -5%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -60%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -39%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $13 −$4 -30%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $16 −$3 -18%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $88 +$4 +4%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $59 +$8 +13%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $4 −$2 -48%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $60 −$4 -6%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $80 +$12 +15%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $20 −$4 -20%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $36 −$7 -20%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $7 $0 -6%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $46 +$6 +13%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $20 +$1 +6%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $9 −$7 -81%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $8 $0 +0%
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $20 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% −$136
other 24% −$17
crypto 0% −$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) SELL Spirit 45¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 19¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 26¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 26¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 26¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 26¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 6¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 8¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 24¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 25¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 25¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 26¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 24¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 24¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 23¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 22¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 17¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 17¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 17¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 17¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 17¢ $5 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 61¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 32¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-27.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 106 -21.1% -28.6% 30% 20% -9.6%
≤30d 156 -19.9% -27.5% 35% 18% -11.7%
≤90d 156 -19.9% -27.5% 35% 18% -11.7%
all 156 -19.9% -27.5% 35% 18% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover89.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.5% 18% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -34.5% 11% -20.1%
15% -40.8% 9% -27.8%
20% -46.6% 6% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.84 · official $0.02 (match) · 1263 history records