trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$1 | -47% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$4 | +77% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$1 | +27% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 1 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +105% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 13 | $3 | +$4 | +140% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $2 | +$8 | +409% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$9 | +179% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$2 | -53% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$2 | -43% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$3 | +64% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $2 | +$3 | +151% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $5 | +$6 | +114% |
| Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | Jun 07 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Chile? | Jun 06 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 06 | $10 | +$2 | +18% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | Jun 05 | $2 | −$2 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | Jun 05 | $5 | +$1 | +23% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | Jun 05 | $5 | +$7 | +132% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | Jun 05 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Will Singapore vs. China PR end in a draw? | Jun 05 | $2 | −$2 | -88% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026? | Jun 02 | $10 | +$2 | +16% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $10 | +$4 | +42% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | May 30 | $5 | +$2 | +46% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 30 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $9 | −$5 | -56% |
| Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5 | May 18 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | +33.5% | +20.8% | 53% | 53% | +45.4% |
| ≤30d | 30 | +10.3% | -0.2% | 53% | 50% | +4.9% |
| ≤90d | 30 | +10.3% | -0.2% | 53% | 50% | +4.9% |
| all | 30 | +10.3% | -0.2% | 53% | 50% | +4.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.2% | 50% | +4.9% |
| 10% | -9.7% | 43% | -5.2% |
| 15% | -18.5% | 37% | -14.3% |
| 20% | -26.5% | 30% | -22.7% |