trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | +41.7% | +28.2% | 38% | 38% | +48.6% |
| ≤30d | 26 | +41.7% | +28.2% | 38% | 38% | +48.6% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +41.7% | +28.2% | 38% | 38% | +48.6% |
| all | 26 | +41.7% | +28.2% | 38% | 38% | +48.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +28.2% | 38% | +48.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +15.9% | 38% | +34.4% |
| 15% | +4.7% | 38% | +21.4% |
| 20% | -5.6% | 38% | +9.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 32¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+16%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+6%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-99%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $5 | +$7 | +136% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$26 | +253% |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5 | Jun 15 | $6 | +$7 | +109% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$20 | +195% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $15 | +$21 | +136% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5 | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$6 | +114% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $5 | −$3 | -58% |
| Cabo Verde to score first vs. Spain? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5 | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$2 | -22% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $14 | −$4 | -29% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$15 | +75% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $4 | −$2 | -61% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $6 | +$25 | +405% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $11 | +$4 | +40% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $13 | +$30 | +228% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $27 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |