Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:07:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4bf2…d280
sports · 1469 markets active 9h ago
0.0score
−$17,517 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17,524 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,434
Realized−$17,524
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses1016 / 682
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Est. fees paid−$976
Open positions25
Markets (closed)1698 / 1469
History coverage35d
Avg bet$159
Trades / day69.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 25 History 1698 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34,963
7 days−$30,581
14 days−$24,024
30 days−$15,371
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 93¢ 94¢ $1,715 $1,724 +$9 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Yes 38¢ 36¢ $601 $577 −$24 (-4%)
Qatar leading at halftime? No 92¢ 94¢ $310 $316 +$5 (+2%)
Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Holon BC Maccabi Tel-Aviv 87¢ 100¢ $220 $250 +$30 (+14%)
Spread: Wydad Athletic Club (-2.5) AS FAR 95¢ 94¢ $73 $72 −$1 (-2%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 Corners Under 45¢ 46¢ $61 $62 +$1 (+1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score No 66¢ 68¢ $49 $50 +$1 (+2%)
Spread: UnionTouargaSports (-1.5) Raja Club Athletic 97¢ 98¢ $48 $49 +$1 (+2%)
Spread: O'Higgins FC (-2.5) CD Coquimbo Unido 97¢ 95¢ $48 $47 −$1 (-2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 Under 98¢ 97¢ $48 $47 −$1 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Under 4¢ 4¢ $50 $46 −$4 (-8%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 47¢ 38¢ $52 $42 −$9 (-18%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Under 29¢ 40¢ $22 $30 +$8 (+35%)
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 0.5 Under 8¢ 8¢ $23 $24 +$1 (+6%)
CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal: O/U 0.5 Over 95¢ 96¢ $21 $22 +$0 (+1%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) St. Louis Cardinals 61¢ 68¢ $16 $17 +$2 (+11%)
Will Club Aurora win on 2026-05-08? Yes 22¢ 25¢ $9 $11 +$1 (+15%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 93¢ 98¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Under 8¢ 8¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+0%)
Spread: CSD Colo-Colo (-2.5) CSD Colo-Colo 30¢ 32¢ $8 $8 +$1 (+8%)
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 0.5 Under 7¢ 8¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+7%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Under 56¢ 50¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-12%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Over 9¢ 10¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 1.5 Over 9¢ 10¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 19¢ 2¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-90%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A Jun 13 $300 −$300 -100%
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims) Jun 13 $270 −$270 -100%
Anadolu Efes vs. Olympiacos B.C. Jun 13 $71 −$71 -100%
Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Banfield end in a draw? Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Pistons vs. Raptors Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
La Union vs. Gimnasia Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Sebastian Ofner Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Janice Tjen Jun 13 $97 −$97 -100%
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: Draw at halftime? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv (-1.5) Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Adelaide 36ers vs. Sydney Kings Jun 13 $218 −$218 -100%
Wuning: Yi Zhou vs Kody Pearson Jun 13 $112 −$112 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Jusuf Nurkić: Assists O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $203 −$203 -100%
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Jun 13 $123 −$123 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Jun 13 $103 −$103 -100%
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw? Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Northern Kentucky Norse: O/U 156.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Llaneros FC vs. Once Caldas: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Rice Owls vs. East Carolina Pirates Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Basquet Club Andorra Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-2.5) Jun 13 $250 −$250 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Pistons vs. Pacers Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
North Texas Mean Green vs. Temple Owls Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Abidjan: Gauthier Onclin vs Calvin Hemery Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09? Jun 13 $219 −$219 -100%
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Zdenek Kolar Jun 13 $199 −$199 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $405 −$405 -100%
ASB Classic: Nuno Borges vs Eliot Spizzirri Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Hornets vs. Celtics Jun 13 $109 −$109 -100%
Nets vs. Magic Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Delray Beach Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Zachary Svajda Jun 13 $150 −$150 -100%
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-04-19? Jun 13 $118 −$118 -100%
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior (BO3) Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $165 −$165 -100%
North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. Hampton Pirates Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Shymkent: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Sean Cuenin Jun 13 $326 −$326 -100%
Suns vs. Bucks Jun 13 $79 −$79 -100%
Mavericks vs. Spurs Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualif Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Split: Ergi Kirkin vs Sandro Kopp Jun 13 $451 −$451 -100%
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia Jun 13 $513 −$513 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% +$10,851
other 43% +$5,114
crypto 0% +$10
politics 0% −$14
world 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 Corners BUY Under 45¢ $62 8h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score BUY No 66¢ $49 9h
Will Blues win? BUY No 88¢ $158 9h
Spread: Wydad Athletic Club (-2.5) BUY AS FAR 96¢ $35 11h
Spread: Wydad Athletic Club (-2.5) BUY AS FAR 95¢ $38 11h
1st 5 Innings Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) BUY St. Louis Cardinals 61¢ $16 11h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 93¢ $702 11h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 93¢ $205 11h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 47¢ $52 12h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 56¢ $7 12h
Spread: UnionTouargaSports (-1.5) BUY Raja Club Athletic 97¢ $49 12h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $612 12h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Under 29¢ $23 12h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 4¢ $49 13h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 67¢ $103 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 BUY Under 95¢ $10 14h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 95¢ $201 14h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 98¢ $20 14h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 98¢ $290 14h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 94¢ $201 14h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 91¢ $201 14h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 91¢ $201 14h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 91¢ $202 14h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 99¢ $501 14h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 98¢ $10 14h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 91¢ $212 15h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 15h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 7¢ $1 15h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 93¢ $5 15h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 92¢ $101 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-18.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 598 -49.8% -54.6% 32% 15% -39.7%
≤30d 1343 -11.8% -20.2% 59% 26% -16.0%
≤90d 1698 -9.3% -18.0% 60% 27% -15.8%
all 1698 -9.3% -18.0% 60% 27% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.0% 27% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -25.8% 19% -23.9%
15% -33.0% 15% -31.3%
20% -39.6% 12% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,433.84 · official $3,431.28 (match) · 3500 history records