trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +137.6% | +115.0% | 67% | 67% | +96.1% |
| ≤30d | 21 | +109.3% | +89.4% | 71% | 71% | +41.5% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +80.1% | +62.9% | 65% | 65% | +27.4% |
| all | 26 | +80.1% | +62.9% | 65% | 65% | +27.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +62.9% | 65% | +27.4% |
| 10% | +47.3% | 65% | +15.2% |
| 15% | +33.1% | 62% | +4.0% |
| 20% | +20.1% | 50% | -6.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $20 | +$32 | +158% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5 | Jun 19 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5 | Jun 19 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $102 | +$107 | +105% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 | Jun 18 | $51 | +$141 | +276% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5 | Jun 17 | $51 | +$365 | +712% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 17 | $100 | +$35 | +35% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5 | Jun 17 | $51 | +$199 | +388% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $101 | +$87 | +86% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5 | Jun 16 | $82 | +$185 | +226% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $100 | −$36 | -36% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 08 | $373 | −$373 | -100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $50 | +$25 | +50% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | Jun 06 | $50 | +$61 | +122% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 02 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $100 | +$85 | +85% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 22 | $50 | +$55 | +110% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 22 | $50 | +$24 | +47% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 22 | $100 | +$60 | +60% |
| Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22? | May 22 | $52 | +$191 | +369% |
| Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22? | May 14 | $52 | −$50 | -97% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | May 12 | $100 | +$49 | +49% |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | May 07 | $103 | −$100 | -98% |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? | May 02 | $100 | +$37 | +37% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | Apr 12 | $50 | −$47 | -94% |