trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 88% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +43.6% | +29.9% | 90% | 10% | -2.5% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +61.4% | +46.0% | 59% | 14% | -2.7% |
| all | 22 | +61.4% | +46.0% | 59% | 14% | -2.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +46.0% | 14% | -2.7% |
| 10% | +32.1% | 14% | -12.0% |
| 15% ← realistic here | +19.3% | 14% | -20.5% |
| 20% | +7.6% | 14% | -28.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 16 | $1,761 | +$60 | +3% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? | Jun 16 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? | Jun 16 | $99 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 11 | $20,000 | $0 | +0% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $180 | +$743 | +413% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $91,604 | +$8,046 | +9% |
| Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the | May 04 | $570 | −$482 | -84% |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W | May 04 | $743 | −$743 | -100% |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | May 03 | $400 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | May 01 | $14,403 | +$135 | +1% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026? | Apr 29 | $46 | +$406 | +888% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me | Apr 28 | $6,423 | −$51 | -1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | Apr 28 | $8,343 | −$3,444 | -41% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 28 | $10,210 | +$975 | +10% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 28 | $2,602 | +$6,327 | +243% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | Apr 22 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Apr 22 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Apr 22 | $100 | $0 | -0% |