Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:14:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4C
0x4c3a…9395
crypto · 1003 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,446 +32%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,033 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized−$3,033
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses521 / 703
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1224 / 1003
History coverage7d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day408.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 1224 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,388
7 days−$3,033
14 days−$3,033
30 days−$3,033
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 76¢ 98¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 62¢ 50¢ $9 $8 −$2 (-20%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 54¢ 62¢ $6 $6 +$1 (+15%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 45¢ 40¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-12%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 58¢ 60¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 76¢ 98¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+29%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 43¢ 38¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 49¢ 50¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 22¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-93%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$377
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 17m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-26.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1224 -18.7% -26.5% 43% 36% -35.8%
≤30d 1224 -18.7% -26.5% 43% 36% -35.8%
≤90d 1224 -18.7% -26.5% 43% 36% -35.8%
all 1224 -18.7% -26.5% 43% 36% -35.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover408.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.5% 36% -35.8%
10% ← realistic here -33.5% 28% -42.0%
15% -39.9% 21% -47.6%
20% -45.8% 15% -52.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.05 · official $49.05 (match) · 3500 history records