trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +60.5% | +45.2% | 90% | 90% | +31.0% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -6.1% | -15.1% | 50% | 50% | -8.2% |
| ≤90d | 70 | -10.0% | -18.5% | 60% | 59% | -9.6% |
| all | 108 | -9.9% | -18.5% | 55% | 53% | -11.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.5% | 53% | -11.8% |
| 10% | -26.3% | 35% | -20.2% |
| 15% | -33.4% | 23% | -27.9% |
| 20% | -40.0% | 19% | -35.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 84¢ | 86¢ | $200 | $204 | +$4 (+2%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 85¢ | 86¢ | $200 | $201 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 52¢ | 52¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? | No | 54¢ | 52¢ | $100 | $97 | −$3 (-3%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 12¢ | $100 | $70 | −$30 (-30%) |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $40 | $39 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $101 | +$68 | +67% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $202 | +$125 | +62% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $101 | +$80 | +79% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $51 | +$110 | +216% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $401 | +$48 | +12% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $53 | +$17 | +32% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $101 | +$40 | +40% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $102 | +$142 | +140% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $101 | +$58 | +57% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $110 | +$13 | +12% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$4 | -37% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$5 | -50% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | Jun 15 | $52 | −$50 | -95% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca | Jun 02 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | May 29 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot | May 28 | $101 | −$3 | -3% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Hugo Gaston | May 28 | $101 | +$26 | +26% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs McCartney Kessler | May 28 | $101 | +$28 | +27% |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 28 | $101 | +$31 | +30% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $101 | +$80 | +79% |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 20 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | May 20 | $102 | +$61 | +60% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 13 | $101 | +$29 | +29% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 12 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $101 | −$40 | -40% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 12 | $101 | +$65 | +65% |
| LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Ch | May 08 | $101 | +$22 | +22% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 08 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Cloud Dawning (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger | May 02 | $101 | +$26 | +26% |
| Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | May 02 | $140 | +$19 | +13% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 02 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 02 | $101 | +$65 | +65% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | May 01 | $101 | +$77 | +76% |
| Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April? | Apr 30 | $100 | +$12 | +12% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 29 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 28 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 28 | $200 | +$44 | +22% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Apr 28 | $100 | +$23 | +23% |
| Flyers vs. Penguins | Apr 28 | $100 | +$76 | +76% |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April? | Apr 27 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | Apr 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 26 | $10 | +$5 | +55% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 26 | $10 | +$4 | +42% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 26 | $10 | +$3 | +31% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 26 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Apr 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |