Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4C
0x4c94…ffad
crypto · 80 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$456 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$458 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$43
Realized−$458
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses33 / 45
Open positions2
Markets (closed)78 / 80
History coverage1d
Avg bet$236
Trades / day3311.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 78 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$458
7 days−$458
14 days−$458
30 days−$458
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $18 $21 +$3 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 49¢ 50¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 54¢ 50¢ $6 $6 −$1 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $17 $1 −$16 (-94%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $268 −$36 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $190 +$83 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $155 −$86 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $208 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$10 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $114 −$24 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $258 −$41 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $160 +$35 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $143 −$45 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $275 −$49 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $290 −$96 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $259 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $301 −$72 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $138 +$15 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $276 −$17 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $243 −$24 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $330 +$69 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $224 +$101 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $264 +$97 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $160 −$25 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $368 −$44 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $243 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $324 −$73 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $203 −$33 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $192 −$29 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $362 −$47 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $242 −$21 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $141 −$14 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $389 +$38 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $156 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $238 −$27 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $612 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $289 −$77 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $216 −$11 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $299 −$84 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $170 +$29 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $299 +$53 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $247 +$33 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $192 +$75 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $207 +$29 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $139 +$9 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $294 +$39 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $90 −$42 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $114 −$24 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $177 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $231 −$21 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $158 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $288 +$16 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $117 +$50 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $322 +$16 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$475
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $15 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $19 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)+12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 +24.0% +12.2% 42% 26% -12.1%
≤30d 78 +24.0% +12.2% 42% 26% -12.1%
≤90d 78 +24.0% +12.2% 42% 26% -12.1%
all 78 +24.0% +12.2% 42% 26% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3311.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +12.2% 26% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here +1.5% 9% -20.5%
15% -8.3% 9% -28.2%
20% -17.3% 4% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43.04 · official $66.01 · 3500 history records