trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -20.7% | -28.2% | 38% | 38% | +2.6% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -20.7% | -28.2% | 38% | 38% | +2.6% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -20.7% | -28.2% | 38% | 38% | +2.6% |
| all | 13 | -20.7% | -28.2% | 38% | 38% | +2.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.2% | 38% | +2.6% |
| 10% | -35.1% | 38% | -7.2% |
| 15% | -41.4% | 38% | -16.2% |
| 20% | -47.1% | 31% | -24.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay? | Yes | 11¢ | 22¢ | $51 | $101 | +$51 (+100%) |
| Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay? | Yes | 9¢ | 28¢ | $31 | $94 | +$63 (+206%) |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Germany | 48¢ | 14¢ | $200 | $60 | −$140 (-70%) |
| Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $101 | $0 | −$100 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $206 | +$144 | +70% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 28 | $64 | −$63 | -98% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 28 | $304 | +$115 | +38% |
| Spread: DR Congo (-1.5) | Jun 28 | $39 | +$100 | +253% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $123 | −$121 | -98% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? AND Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $100 | +$63 | +63% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 26 | $95 | +$102 | +107% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $97 | −$94 | -98% |
| England vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5 | Jun 23 | $4 | −$3 | -97% |
| England vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5 | Jun 23 | $72 | −$70 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Uzbekistan? | Jun 23 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Uzbekistan? | Jun 23 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan? | Jun 23 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |