trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +74.9% | +58.2% | 80% | 60% | +59.3% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +74.9% | +58.2% | 80% | 60% | +59.3% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -44.1% | -49.5% | 24% | 18% | -89.7% |
| all | 31 | +2.7% | -7.1% | 58% | 48% | -60.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.1% | 48% | -60.1% |
| 10% | -16.0% | 32% | -63.9% |
| 15% | -24.1% | 29% | -67.4% |
| 20% | -31.5% | 19% | -70.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 82¢ | 84¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 32¢ | 31¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 83¢ | 94¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+13%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 90¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 69¢ | 68¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 54¢ | 10¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-82%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +19% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | +$3 | +250% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | +$2 | +197% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs MASONIC (BO3) | Mar 26 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100 | Mar 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Mar 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | Mar 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M | Mar 26 | $2 | $0 | -25% |
| Kenneth Walker III: Rushing Yards O/U 80.5 | Mar 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS (BO3) | Mar 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Kings | Mar 26 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? | Mar 26 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| LoL: GnG Amazigh vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) | Mar 26 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? | Mar 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will England win? | Mar 08 | $2 | +$4 | +223% |
| Will Italy win? | Feb 23 | $1 | $0 | +14% |
| AJ Barner: Anytime Touchdown | Feb 09 | $1 | +$2 | +202% |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | Feb 09 | $1 | +$1 | +100% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 09 | $6 | +$2 | +41% |
| Will Leinster win? | Feb 02 | $2 | $0 | +15% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jan | Jan 31 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua | Jan 31 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbert | Jan 16 | $2 | +$1 | +28% |
| LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) | Jan 16 | $1 | $0 | +39% |
| Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Fake do Biru (BO3) | Jan 16 | $2 | $0 | +11% |
| Bulls vs. Rockets | Jan 14 | $1 | $0 | +20% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jan 14 | $1 | $0 | +37% |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? | Jan 13 | $4 | +$3 | +86% |