trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -65.9% | -69.2% | 22% | 22% | +12.0% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -49.1% | -54.0% | 31% | 31% | +6.6% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -49.1% | -54.0% | 31% | 31% | +6.6% |
| all | 25 | -21.5% | -29.0% | 28% | 28% | -16.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.0% | 28% | -16.9% |
| 10% | -35.8% | 24% | -24.9% |
| 15% | -42.0% | 24% | -32.1% |
| 20% | -47.7% | 20% | -38.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 39¢ | 11¢ | $210 | $61 | −$150 (-71%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $10 | $15 | +$6 (+57%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-23%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan? | Jun 23 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Ghana? | Jun 23 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan? | Jun 23 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$9 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $349 | +$174 | +50% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $100 | −$98 | -98% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $28 | −$27 | -97% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $336 | +$191 | +57% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $87 | −$85 | -98% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $7 | +$6 | +74% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $93 | +$74 | +80% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | Dec 08 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | Dec 08 | $32 | +$4 | +12% |
| Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025? | Dec 08 | $70 | −$39 | -55% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 09 | $91 | −$91 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | Nov 02 | $107 | −$107 | -100% |
| Linea airdrop in Q3 2025? | Sep 03 | $152 | −$14 | -9% |
| Linea airdrop in Q1 2025? | Mar 22 | $185 | −$103 | -56% |
| Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025? | Feb 04 | $373 | −$69 | -18% |
| Magic vs. Raptors | Jan 04 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Bucks | Jan 03 | $2 | +$13 | +669% |
| Celtics vs. Timberwolves | Jan 03 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| zkSync airdrop by June 30? | Jun 10 | $136 | +$80 | +59% |