trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +1.1% | -8.6% | 50% | 0% | -8.9% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 31% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 31% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 27 | -3.8% | -12.9% | 41% | 0% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 0% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -21.3% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -35.9% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | No | 90¢ | 89¢ | $36 | $36 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $19 | $0 | +2% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 04 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 03 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | -7% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 02 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 01 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 01 | $28 | +$1 | +2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $35 | +$1 | +2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 31 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $41 | −$1 | -4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 27 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 26 | $38 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30? | Jun 11 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | Jun 07 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship | Jun 06 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 French Open? | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope? | May 09 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | May 05 | $1 | $0 | -12% |
| Will the Liberals win between 170-179 seats in the next Canadian Elect | Apr 30 | $21 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%? | Apr 29 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Conservative Party win by 50 or more seats? | Apr 28 | $23 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | Apr 28 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 27 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| 10-year Treasury yield below 4% before April? | Mar 29 | $27 | $0 | +0% |