| Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 14 |
Jun 29 |
$42 |
−$1 |
-2% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
May 20 |
$1 |
$0 |
+17% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? |
Apr 07 |
$7 |
−$7 |
-98% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28? |
Feb 26 |
$2 |
−$2 |
-100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? |
Feb 09 |
$12 |
−$12 |
-100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25? |
Feb 09 |
$2 |
+$3 |
+156% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? |
Jan 23 |
$7 |
+$3 |
+49% |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? |
Dec 26 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-100% |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Polish preside |
Sep 02 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-100% |
| Will Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup? |
Jun 09 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-100% |
| Will Athletic Club beat Real Madrid? |
May 25 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting? |
Apr 20 |
$5 |
−$5 |
-100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? |
Apr 20 |
$9 |
−$9 |
-100% |
| Will Ipswich win on 2025-03-15? |
Mar 17 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-100% |
| Will Galatasaray win the UEFA Europa League? |
Feb 27 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |
| Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League? |
Feb 27 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |
| Will Manchester City vs. Real Madrid end in a draw? |
Feb 18 |
$2 |
−$2 |
-100% |
| Will Everton win on 2025-02-01? |
Feb 11 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-100% |
| Will Sturm Graz beat RB Leipzig? |
Jan 31 |
$2 |
+$5 |
+300% |
| Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-26? |
Jan 29 |
$2 |
+$3 |
+163% |
| Will Bayern Munich beat Feyenoord? |
Jan 24 |
$1 |
+$4 |
+270% |
| Will Leicester win on 2025-01-18? |
Jan 20 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-100% |
| Will West Ham win on 2025-01-14? |
Jan 17 |
$1 |
+$3 |
+203% |
| Will Fulham win on 2025-01-05? |
Jan 14 |
$2 |
+$2 |
+150% |
| Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-29? |
Jan 05 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-100% |
| Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-26? |
Dec 29 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-100% |
| Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-22? |
Dec 26 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-100% |
| Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-14? |
Dec 20 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting? |
Dec 20 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain beat RB Salzburg? |
Dec 13 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-100% |
| Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-08? |
Dec 09 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-100% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-04? |
Dec 06 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |
| Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? |
Dec 06 |
$0 |
+$73 |
+18302% |
| Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-30? |
Dec 03 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |
| Will Real Madrid beat Liverpool? |
Nov 28 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |
| Will AC Milan beat Slovan Bratislava? |
Nov 27 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-100% |
| Will Newcastle vs. West Ham end in a draw? |
Nov 26 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-100% |
| Will Leicester win on 2024-11-23? |
Nov 25 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi |
Nov 18 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |
| Will Spurs vs. Ipswich end in a draw? |
Nov 11 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Nov 07 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Nov 07 |
$155 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Zouhair Maghzaoui win the Tunisia presidential election? |
Nov 07 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? |
Sep 12 |
$1 |
$0 |
-17% |
| Will Leicester City beat Fulham? |
Sep 12 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |
| Will Brandon Aiyuk be traded to the Patriots? |
Sep 12 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Not going back" during DNC speech? |
Aug 23 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Crypto "or "Bitcoin" during Friday speech? |
Aug 19 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" at his rally? |
Aug 19 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" at his rally? |
Aug 19 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |