trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +57.8% | +42.8% | 50% | 50% | -32.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +57.8% | +42.8% | 50% | 50% | -32.6% |
| ≤90d | 2 | +57.8% | +42.8% | 50% | 50% | -32.6% |
| all | 7 | -27.5% | -34.4% | 29% | 29% | -61.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.4% | 29% | -61.5% |
| 10% | -40.7% | 29% | -65.2% |
| 15% | -46.4% | 29% | -68.5% |
| 20% | -51.7% | 14% | -71.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 | Over | 73¢ | 88¢ | $30 | $36 | +$6 (+21%) |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | No | 60¢ | 60¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $31 | +$66 | +216% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 17 | $99 | −$99 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | Mar 16 | $13 | −$13 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | Mar 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Mar 16 | $10 | +$5 | +47% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 8? | Mar 08 | $125 | −$125 | -100% |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? | Mar 08 | $276 | −$151 | -55% |