Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T15:05:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
4D 0x4dab…6d0e crypto 635 markets active 2h ago coverage 29d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 28d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (93 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$49,456 (+130%) realized +$49,456 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate47%298W / 337L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$60per market
Trades / day93.5pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 29d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$502
other 3% +$206
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (93 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +9.9% -0.5% 78% 56% -5.2%
≤30d 635 -9.2% -17.8% 47% 42% -10.2%
≤90d 635 -9.2% -17.8% 47% 42% -10.2%
all 635 -9.2% -17.8% 47% 42% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover93.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 42% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -25.7% 36% -18.8%
15% -32.9% 27% -26.7%
20% -39.5% 20% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -18% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$42 vs −$38 · ×1.1 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$49,456
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses298 / 337
Open positions0
Markets (closed)635 / 635
History coverage29d ⚠
Avg bet$60
Trades / day93.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 635 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $551 +$164 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 23 $63 −$19 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 23 $39 +$4 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 23 $1,244 −$487 -39%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 23 $130 +$31 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 23 $341 +$24 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 23 $774 +$317 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 23 $79 +$6 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 23 $337 +$128 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $139 −$139 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $70 +$24 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $58 +$37 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $81 +$23 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $120 −$32 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$11 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$18 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$25 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$16 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $94 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$26 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$17 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$12 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $104 −$39 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $28 +$13 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $29 +$17 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $119 +$30 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $55 +$35 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $119 +$50 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $87 −$14 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $46 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $46 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $43 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $44 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $17 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $16 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $292 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $19 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $19 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $13 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $13 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $20 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $19 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $729 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $19 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $18 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $17 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $17 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $17 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $17 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $17 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $76 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records