trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 100% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +7.3% | -2.9% | 100% | 50% | -3.3% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +4.3% | -5.6% | 100% | 25% | -5.2% |
| all | 27 | -6.6% | -15.5% | 52% | 4% | -14.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.5% | 4% | -14.5% |
| 10% | -23.6% | 0% | -22.7% |
| 15% | -31.0% | 0% | -30.2% |
| 20% | -37.7% | 0% | -37.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? | Jun 18 | $250 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | Jun 06 | $216 | +$30 | +14% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | May 08 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | May 08 | $398 | +$10 | +2% |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | Feb 28 | $207 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-01-17? | Feb 13 | $137 | −$137 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November? | Jan 17 | $136 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Nov 06 | $135 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli finish second in the 2025 Drivers Champions | Oct 02 | $135 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in April? | Jul 01 | $135 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31? | Apr 29 | $134 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025? | Mar 14 | $133 | +$1 | +0% |
| Blues vs. Blue Jackets | Jan 05 | $572 | −$572 | -100% |
| Will another team win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship? | Dec 24 | $133 | $0 | +0% |
| Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Elec | Dec 02 | $132 | $0 | +0% |
| Will José Luiz Datena win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election? | Oct 06 | $1,610 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024? | Oct 06 | $42 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025? | Aug 07 | $653 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025? | Aug 07 | $254 | −$1 | -0% |
| 2024 Balance of Power: Other | Aug 06 | $1,007 | $0 | -0% |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House | Aug 06 | $1,762 | $0 | -0% |
| Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Pr | Aug 06 | $1,982 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi | Aug 06 | $487 | $0 | -0% |
| Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Aug 06 | $546 | −$1 | -0% |
| USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | Aug 06 | $412 | $0 | -0% |
| France wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | Aug 06 | $264 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025? | Aug 06 | $98 | $0 | -0% |