trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $20 | $0 | -2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $4 | $0 | -4% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 12 | $16 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $7 | $0 | -5% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $4 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | -12% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $7 | −$1 | -7% |
| Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz | Jun 11 | $25 | +$2 | +10% |
| Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska | Jun 11 | $75 | −$1 | -2% |
| Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic | Jun 11 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag | Jun 11 | $10 | −$1 | -13% |
| Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez | Jun 11 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | Jun 11 | $6 | $0 | -3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | Jun 11 | $5 | −$2 | -30% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 10% | 0% | -11.3% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 10% | 0% | -11.3% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 10% | 0% | -11.3% |
| all | 21 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 10% | 0% | -11.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -13.6% | 0% | -11.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -21.9% | 0% | -19.8% |
| 15% | -29.4% | 0% | -27.6% |
| 20% | -36.4% | 0% | -34.7% |