trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 33% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 33% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 20 | -4.2% | -13.3% | 65% | 0% | -10.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.3% | 0% | -10.2% |
| 10% | -21.6% | 0% | -18.8% |
| 15% | -29.2% | 0% | -26.6% |
| 20% | -36.1% | 0% | -33.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 23 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 20 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 15 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 14 | $112 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 13 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 12 | $42 | −$1 | -2% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 24 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Walmart buy TikTok? | Jun 26 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 20 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April? | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Atalanta win the Serie A? | Mar 28 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 26 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will anyone audibly fart during Digital Asset Summit? | Mar 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 20 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by next Friday? | Mar 16 | $16 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in February 20 | Mar 12 | $16 | $0 | +1% |