Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T01:19:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
4E 0x4e0b…4e72 sports 543 markets active 4h ago coverage 95d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$5,999 (-4%) realized −$5,999 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR60%break-even
Win rate61%330W / 212L
Whale WR73%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$302per market
Trades / day9.8pace
Fees−$1,142est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$250
7 days+$379
14 days−$225
30 days−$1,274
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 75% −$4,216
other 19% −$5,032
crypto 6% +$1,029
finance 0% +$108
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +21.8% +10.2% 72% 72% -0.1%
≤30d 113 -1.0% -10.4% 64% 61% -14.4%
≤90d 467 -10.6% -19.1% 55% 54% -15.2%
all 542 +4.5% -5.5% 61% 60% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.5% 60% -14.0%
10% -14.5% 54% -22.3%
15% -22.8% 47% -29.8%
20% -30.3% 36% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 73% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +17% → late -8% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$126 vs −$234 · ×0.54 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

95d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,999
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses330 / 212
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$1,142
Open positions0
Markets (closed)542 / 543
History coverage95d
Avg bet$302
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 542 Trades
no open positions (43 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 25 $79 +$31 +40%
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B Jun 25 $145 +$155 +107%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Super DraculaN Gr Jun 25 $216 +$123 +57%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Tereza Valentova Jun 25 $202 +$136 +67%
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Nuno Borges Jun 25 $221 +$126 +57%
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 25 $331 +$107 +32%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG (BO3) - Super DraculaN Gr Jun 24 $184 +$147 +80%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? Jun 24 $149 +$35 +24%
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 24 $67 +$82 +122%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG - Map 1 Winner Jun 24 $39 +$28 +71%
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner Jun 24 $326 −$324 -99%
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs MIBR Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 24 $200 +$126 +63%
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs FOKUS (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B Jun 24 $197 −$195 -99%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Jun 24 $152 −$150 -98%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner Jun 24 $222 +$120 +54%
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick Jun 24 $266 −$37 -14%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Jun 24 $263 −$260 -99%
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 Jun 23 $400 +$129 +32%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $384 −$381 -99%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $309 +$75 +24%
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Jun 16 $200 +$109 +54%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score Jun 15 $51 −$50 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $71 −$70 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $50 +$22 +43%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $134 −$132 -99%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $135 −$134 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $51 +$25 +50%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $51 +$33 +64%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $235 +$128 +54%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $51 +$31 +60%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $41 −$40 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $71 +$24 +34%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $51 +$49 +97%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 10 $51 −$50 -98%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $50 +$21 +42%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $41 −$40 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $52 −$50 -97%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $51 +$40 +79%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $50 +$18 +36%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $51 +$42 +82%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $51 +$48 +95%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 07 $241 +$115 +48%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $50 +$22 +43%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 07 $117 +$51 +43%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $111 +$42 +38%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $234 −$6 -3%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $51 −$51 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL Sashi Esport 100¢ $110 3h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Sashi Esport 71¢ $79 4h
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B SELL ECHO 100¢ $300 6h
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Super DraculaN Gr SELL Inner Circle Esports 100¢ $339 9h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Tereza Valentova SELL Tatjana Maria 100¢ $339 9h
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B BUY ECHO 48¢ $145 11h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Tereza Valentova BUY Tatjana Maria 59¢ $202 12h
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Nuno Borges SELL Nuno Borges 100¢ $347 12h
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Super DraculaN Gr BUY Inner Circle Esports 63¢ $216 14h
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Nuno Borges BUY Nuno Borges 63¢ $221 14h
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Under 75¢ $331 26h
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG (BO3) - Super DraculaN Gr SELL Betclic Apogee Esports 100¢ $331 26h
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG (BO3) - Super DraculaN Gr BUY Betclic Apogee Esports 55¢ $184 28h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? SELL Yes 100¢ $184 28h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 80¢ $149 28h
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner SELL 9INE 100¢ $149 28h
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner BUY 9INE 44¢ $67 29h
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG - Map 1 Winner SELL OG 99¢ $67 29h
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG - Map 1 Winner BUY OG 57¢ $39 30h
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner BUY GamerLegion 77¢ $326 31h
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs MIBR Academy - Map 2 Winner SELL MIBR Academy 100¢ $326 31h
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs MIBR Academy - Map 2 Winner BUY MIBR Academy 61¢ $200 31h
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs FOKUS (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B BUY FOKUS 63¢ $197 34h
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN BUY Inner Circle Esports 50¢ $152 34h
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner SELL Eternal Fire 100¢ $343 35h
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner BUY Eternal Fire 64¢ $222 35h
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick SELL largadosypelados 50¢ $229 35h
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick BUY largadosypelados 57¢ $266 38h
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group BUY Eternal Fire 64¢ $263 39h
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 75¢ $400 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1133 history records