trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -28% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$1 | -25% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$2 | -31% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | -10% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | Jun 13 | $26 | −$25 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | Jun 13 | $64 | −$56 | -88% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | Jun 13 | $10 | −$2 | -15% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -63.2% | -66.7% | 0% | 0% | -80.9% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -63.2% | -66.7% | 0% | 0% | -80.9% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -63.2% | -66.7% | 0% | 0% | -80.9% |
| all | 11 | -63.2% | -66.7% | 0% | 0% | -80.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -66.7% | 0% | -80.9% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -69.9% | 0% | -82.7% |
| 15% | -72.8% | 0% | -84.4% |
| 20% | -75.5% | 0% | -85.9% |