Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:59:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4E
0x4e16…4ea1
crypto · 757 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$61 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$61 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$61
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses250 / 507
Open positions0
Markets (closed)757 / 757
History coverage24d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day41.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 757 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$81
7 days−$76
14 days+$26
30 days−$61
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +152%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +166%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$14 +280%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$29 +574%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +64%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$61
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 318 -5.7% -14.7% 34% 34% -13.8%
≤30d 757 -1.7% -11.1% 33% 33% -10.8%
≤90d 757 -1.7% -11.1% 33% 33% -10.8%
all 757 -1.7% -11.1% 33% 33% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 33% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 33% -19.3%
15% -27.3% 32% -27.1%
20% -34.5% 31% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1748 history records