Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4E
0x4e42…4833
crypto · 23 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses10 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)23 / 23
History coverage4d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day6.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +393%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +58%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -93%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -93%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$3
other 17% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 26h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 26h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 27h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-20.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -12.5% -20.9% 43% 30% -18.5%
≤30d 23 -12.5% -20.9% 43% 30% -18.5%
≤90d 23 -12.5% -20.9% 43% 30% -18.5%
all 23 -12.5% -20.9% 43% 30% -18.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.9% 30% -18.5%
10% -28.4% 30% -26.3%
15% -35.3% 30% -33.4%
20% -41.7% 30% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 33 history records