Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:45:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4E
0x4e46…56e4
crypto · 1506 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$100 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$100 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$100
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1373 / 133
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1506 / 1506
History coverage65d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day28.8
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1506 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$28
14 days+$67
30 days+$149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$5 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$99
weather 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $7 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $13 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $13 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $14 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $12 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $11 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $12 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 243 -0.8% -10.2% 93% 12% -8.1%
≤30d 775 +0.8% -8.8% 96% 6% -8.6%
≤90d 1506 -0.3% -9.8% 91% 13% -9.1%
all 1506 -0.3% -9.8% 91% 13% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 13% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 7% -17.8%
15% -26.3% 4% -25.8%
20% -33.5% 2% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records