trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +8.9% | -1.5% | 50% | 33% | -5.0% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +8.9% | -1.5% | 50% | 33% | -5.0% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +8.9% | -1.5% | 50% | 33% | -5.0% |
| all | 18 | -13.1% | -21.4% | 39% | 28% | -18.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.4% | 28% | -18.2% |
| 10% | -28.9% | 28% | -26.0% |
| 15% | -35.7% | 28% | -33.2% |
| 20% | -42.0% | 28% | -39.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $600 | $2 | −$598 (-100%) |
| Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $192 | $1 | −$191 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | Jun 24 | $105 | −$105 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | Jun 24 | $417 | −$87 | -21% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | Jun 24 | $288 | +$525 | +182% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Jun 24 | $236 | +$18 | +8% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | Jun 24 | $210 | −$108 | -51% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | Jun 24 | $210 | +$159 | +76% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | Jun 24 | $315 | +$4 | +1% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $492 | −$403 | -82% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | Jun 24 | $208 | −$13 | -6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | Jun 24 | $182 | +$243 | +133% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | Jun 24 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $387 | +$16 | +4% |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexander Zverev | Oct 30 | $405 | −$405 | -100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3? | Oct 30 | $1,000 | −$596 | -60% |
| Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in t | Oct 30 | $285 | −$285 | -100% |
| Will Trump meet with Chuck Schumer in October? | Oct 30 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 30? | Oct 30 | $598 | +$692 | +116% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 30? | Oct 30 | $57 | −$56 | -98% |