Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T11:38:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
4E 0x4e6f…358e crypto 596 markets active 0h ago coverage 52d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big⚠ Covers last 52d only
✗ bot/MM pace (54 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real! loses its big bets
Total PnL +$7,262 (+6%) realized +$7,262 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -12% what you keep after slip
Net edge-12%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate85%504W / 92L
Whale WR29%big bets
Drawdown49%max
Avg bet$191per market
Trades / day53.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$548
7 days+$162
14 days+$2,222
30 days+$4,455
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$6,221
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (54 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 +8.9% -1.5% 87% 61% -9.0%
≤30d 343 +13.0% +2.2% 87% 57% -4.1%
≤90d 596 +13.9% +3.0% 85% 56% -7.2%
all 596 +13.9% +3.0% 85% 56% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.0% 56% -7.2%
10% ← realistic here -6.8% 29% -16.0%
15% -15.8% 19% -24.2%
20% -24.1% 12% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
29% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +14% · $-wt +6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 29% (≥$500) wins small, loses big bets
Persistence
early +18% → late +10% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
4.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$60 vs −$263 · ×0.23 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.26 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

52d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$7,262
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses504 / 92
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)596 / 596
History coverage52d ⚠
Avg bet$191
Trades / day53.9
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 596 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 19 $401 +$36 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 19 $301 +$44 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 19 $312 +$36 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 19 $197 +$21 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 19 $301 +$70 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 19 $402 −$402 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 19 $203 +$22 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 19 $200 +$33 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 19 $200 +$27 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 19 $293 +$131 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 18 $302 +$102 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 18 $229 +$20 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $197 +$98 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 18 $200 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $243 +$50 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 18 $196 +$82 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $194 +$30 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$13 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $200 +$13 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $218 +$57 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $351 +$34 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $200 +$22 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$71 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $300 +$25 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $393 +$124 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $195 +$44 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $195 +$45 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $200 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $394 +$78 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $393 −$393 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $394 +$67 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $394 +$28 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $109 +$31 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $193 +$23 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $200 +$72 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$162 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $393 +$41 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $256 +$48 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $217 +$12 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $200 +$13 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $376 +$391 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $253 +$35 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $361 +$254 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $197 +$119 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $83 +$161 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $200 +$11 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $322 +$62 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $194 +$28 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $293 +$36 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $293 +$37 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $57 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $31 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $201 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $16 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $80 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $7 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $79 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $201 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $202 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $97 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $201 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $29 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $60 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records