trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 4? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +39% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 8? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +21% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +50% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 7? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +32% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on Ju | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +362% |
| Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 27m? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 4? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 9? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 9? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 11? | Jun 11 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $4 | $0 | +3% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -27.2% | -34.1% | 41% | 35% | -15.3% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -27.2% | -34.1% | 41% | 35% | -15.3% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -27.2% | -34.1% | 41% | 35% | -15.3% |
| all | 17 | -27.2% | -34.1% | 41% | 35% | -15.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -34.1% | 35% | -15.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -40.4% | 29% | -23.4% |
| 15% | -46.2% | 18% | -30.8% |
| 20% | -51.5% | 12% | -37.6% |