Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:45:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4E
0x4e9e…0c30
crypto · 1357 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$2,678 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,678 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,678
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses728 / 500
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1228 / 1357
History coverage17d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day158.0
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1228 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$57
7 days+$1,128
14 days+$2,395
30 days+$2,678
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $29 +$26 +89%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$24 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$24 +78%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +78%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$20 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$25 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$20 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$20 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$25 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$20 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$25 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$27 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$20 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$24 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +77%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$20 +82%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$26 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$15 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$25 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$28 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$25 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$24 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,975
sports 0% −$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $29 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $31 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $22 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $25 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $7 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-2.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 427 +9.4% -1.0% 60% 60% +1.2%
≤30d 1228 +7.9% -2.4% 59% 59% -0.7%
≤90d 1228 +7.9% -2.4% 59% 59% -0.7%
all 1228 +7.9% -2.4% 59% 59% -0.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover158.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.4% 59% -0.7%
10% ← realistic here -11.7% 59% -10.2%
15% -20.3% 59% -18.9%
20% -28.1% 59% -26.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records