Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:11:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4E
0x4ea1…94dc
sports · 70 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$2,986 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,457 · open −$447
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$3,457
Unrealized−$447
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses21 / 42
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$190
Open positions2
Markets (closed)63 / 70
History coverage234d
Avg bet$1,728
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 2 History 63 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,184
7 days+$569
14 days−$1,225
30 days−$1,023
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner T1 41¢ 0¢ $447 $1 −$446 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner LGD Gaming 60¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner Team Secret Whales 34¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A BNK FEARX 24¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 59¢ 0¢ $368 $0 −$368 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner BNK FEARX 21¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 31¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) KT Rolster 50¢ 0¢ $44,925 $0 −$44,925 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 34¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner BNK FEARX 25¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 52¢ 0¢ $320 $0 −$320 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3) Top Esports 18¢ 0¢ $1,273 $0 −$1,273 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 29¢ 0¢ $293 $0 −$293 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) Anyones Legend 52¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 51¢ 0¢ $562 $0 −$562 (-100%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner EDward Gaming 7¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars 25¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) South Africa 60¢ 0¢ $312 $0 −$312 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner G2 Esports 29¢ 0¢ $428 $0 −$428 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) Vivo Keyd Stars 10¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner LGD Gaming 52¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 59¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner LGD Gaming 40¢ 0¢ $317 $0 −$317 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $402 +$527 +131%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $297 +$250 +84%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $568 −$562 -99%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $202 −$7 -4%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $103 +$430 +419%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $304 +$3 +1%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $192 +$645 +335%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $204 −$107 -52%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $205 +$36 +18%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $299 −$293 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $142 −$140 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $203 +$142 +70%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $645 −$318 -49%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $335 −$6 -2%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $502 −$490 -98%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $809 −$105 -13%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $102 −$95 -93%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $646 −$316 -49%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $811 −$800 -99%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $304 −$294 -97%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $625 −$59 -9%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $305 +$365 +120%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $541 +$211 +39%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $12 −$8 -62%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC? May 30 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? Apr 15 $200 −$195 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs Mar 22 $41 −$41 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Mar 22 $578 −$428 -74%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Mar 22 $320 −$320 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Mar 21 $115 −$105 -91%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Mar 21 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Mar 21 $110 −$110 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner Mar 16 $250 −$250 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A Mar 16 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner Mar 16 $500 −$500 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner Mar 01 $200 −$200 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Mar 01 $770 +$649 +84%
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Mar 01 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner Feb 24 $368 −$368 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Feb 24 $78 −$11 -14%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner Feb 24 $140 −$140 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jan 23 $1,391 +$157 +11%
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jan 23 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? Jan 14 $1,866 −$3 -0%
LoL: ZSM vs LGD Gaming (BO3) Dec 15 $512 −$336 -66%
LoL: ZSM vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Dec 15 $500 −$500 -100%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) Nov 09 $44,925 −$44,925 -100%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Nov 09 $18,000 +$20,873 +116%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Nov 09 $12,001 +$13,786 +115%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$3,337
other 2% −$323
world 2% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $20 39m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $527 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 48¢ $297 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 44¢ $48 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 44¢ $102 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 59¢ $101 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 34¢ $204 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 6¢ $27 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 43¢ $203 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $928 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 38¢ $97 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 38¢ $102 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $203 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 34¢ $82 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 38¢ $102 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 56¢ $27 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 56¢ $85 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 62¢ $101 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 69¢ $172 4h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND W BUY 32¢ $102 13h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 25¢ $102 14h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? A BUY 36¢ $102 14h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 63¢ $195 15h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Wi BUY 31¢ $51 16h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Wi BUY 17¢ $51 16h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Wi BUY 33¢ $51 16h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL XLG Gaming 86¢ $220 16h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL XLG Gaming 85¢ $212 16h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL XLG Gaming 31¢ $101 17h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 12¢ $103 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-26.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +30.2% +17.8% 47% 40% +4.7%
≤30d 26 -2.4% -11.7% 35% 31% -21.0%
≤90d 36 -29.3% -36.0% 25% 22% -37.7%
all 63 -18.2% -26.0% 33% 32% -6.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.0% 32% -6.9%
10% -33.1% 29% -15.8%
15% -39.6% 29% -23.9%
20% -45.5% 27% -31.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.54 · official $0.54 (match) · 233 history records