Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T06:10:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
4E 0x4ea2…fb52 sports 62 markets active 0h ago coverage 32d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$479 (+3%) realized +$479 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR16%break-even
Win rate63%39W / 23L
Whale WR80%big bets
Drawdown86%max
Avg bet$269per market
Trades / day12.1pace
Fees−$337est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$133
7 days+$133
14 days+$133
30 days+$341
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$410
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -12.4% -20.8% 80% 40% -0.7%
≤30d 58 -4.7% -13.7% 62% 16% -7.6%
≤90d 62 -3.9% -13.1% 63% 16% -7.3%
all 62 -3.9% -13.1% 63% 16% -7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.1% 16% -7.3%
10% -21.4% 8% -16.2%
15% -29.0% 3% -24.3%
20% -35.9% 2% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
67% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 80% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +4% → late -12% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$28 vs −$30 · ×0.94 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.59 per $1 lost it wins $1.59
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$479
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses39 / 23
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$337
Open positions0
Markets (closed)62 / 62
History coverage32d
Avg bet$269
Trades / day12.1
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 62 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $112 +$6 +5%
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 29 $552 +$4 +1%
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $617 +$114 +18%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $77 +$10 +13%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $364 +$22 +6%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $240 +$57 +24%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $468 $0 -0%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $88 +$8 +9%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $240 +$15 +6%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $408 −$58 -14%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $715 +$32 +4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $387 +$23 +6%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $791 +$81 +10%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $288 +$11 +4%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $140 +$17 +12%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $61 −$22 -37%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $516 −$35 -7%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $279 −$10 -4%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $55 −$54 -98%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $68 −$62 -91%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $119 −$2 -2%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $203 +$11 +6%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $163 −$1 -1%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $115 −$31 -27%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $421 −$10 -2%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $241 +$11 +4%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $709 −$105 -15%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $226 +$8 +4%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $212 +$79 +37%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $488 +$17 +4%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $313 +$7 +2%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $241 +$8 +3%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $364 −$26 -7%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $295 +$11 +4%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $60 +$5 +8%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $289 −$224 -78%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $182 −$2 -1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $128 +$29 +22%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $638 +$66 +10%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winner May 31 $589 +$24 +4%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner May 31 $350 −$42 -12%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner May 31 $89 −$1 -1%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner May 31 $195 $0 -0%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner May 31 $152 +$6 +4%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $623 +$22 +4%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $195 +$13 +7%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner May 30 $380 +$40 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 52¢ $0 15m
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 52¢ $8 15m
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 52¢ $6 15m
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 52¢ $1 15m
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 52¢ $1 15m
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 52¢ $30 15m
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 52¢ $15 15m
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 52¢ $3 15m
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 52¢ $52 15m
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 49¢ $3 15m
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 49¢ $3 15m
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 49¢ $39 15m
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 49¢ $66 15m
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 85¢ $255 50m
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 84¢ $253 51m
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 86¢ $257 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 85¢ $256 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 15¢ $26 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 15¢ $19 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 14¢ $43 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $300 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 68¢ $206 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 25¢ $73 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 30¢ $67 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 30¢ $21 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 30¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 30¢ $2 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 77¢ $231 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 67¢ $203 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 43¢ $127 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 399 history records