Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:32:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4E
0x4ea7…702f
crypto · 52 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$150 +73%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$150 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$150
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses31 / 20
Open positions1
Markets (closed)51 / 52
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day59.0
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 51 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$150
7 days+$150
14 days+$150
30 days+$150
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 56¢ 64¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$122 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$14 +276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$150
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 +21.0% +9.5% 61% 55% +57.4%
≤30d 51 +21.0% +9.5% 61% 55% +57.4%
≤90d 51 +21.0% +9.5% 61% 55% +57.4%
all 51 +21.0% +9.5% 61% 55% +57.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +9.5% 55% +57.4%
10% ← realistic here -1.0% 55% +42.4%
15% -10.6% 55% +28.6%
20% -19.3% 45% +16.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.27 · official $1.80 (match) · 92 history records