trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | +124.8% | +103.4% | 43% | 43% | +60.7% |
| ≤30d | 21 | +124.8% | +103.4% | 43% | 43% | +60.7% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +124.8% | +103.4% | 43% | 43% | +60.7% |
| all | 30 | +92.0% | +73.7% | 53% | 50% | +51.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +73.7% | 50% | +51.0% |
| 10% | +57.1% | 50% | +36.5% |
| 15% | +41.9% | 47% | +23.3% |
| 20% | +28.0% | 33% | +11.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 76¢ | 90¢ | $200 | $237 | +$37 (+18%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 57¢ | $200 | $200 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $50 | $57 | +$7 (+15%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$44 | +44% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $6 | −$1 | -14% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $101 | +$50 | +50% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$30 | +291% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$25 | +250% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$35 | +344% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$1 | -13% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $53 | −$12 | -23% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$139 | +1351% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$27 | +262% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$30 | +291% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $16 | −$15 | -96% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$61 | +596% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Feb 26 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | Feb 26 | $18 | +$1 | +6% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 10 | $5 | +$3 | +59% |
| LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics (BO5) | Nov 03 | $1 | $0 | +27% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) | Nov 03 | $1 | +$1 | +108% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) | Oct 31 | $1 | $0 | +43% |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) | Oct 29 | $8 | +$5 | +56% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner | Oct 28 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | Oct 28 | $1 | $0 | +41% |