trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 0% | 0% | -10.7% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 38% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 38% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 24 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 58% | 4% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.5% | 4% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -18.1% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -33.3% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $28 | $28 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 24 | $29 | $0 | -1% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 23 | $29 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 07 | $59 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 07 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 06 | $86 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 05 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 04 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 04 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jun 27 | $6 | $0 | +7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Giants draft Cameron Ward? | Apr 28 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 17 | $7 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 16 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok? | Apr 14 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? | Apr 13 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 13 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 25 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Ole Miss vs. Auburn | Mar 04 | $8 | +$1 | +15% |
| Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German electio | Feb 25 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Hornets vs. Warriors | Feb 25 | $7 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March? | Feb 24 | $11 | −$4 | -35% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | Feb 23 | $12 | $0 | -1% |