trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 27 | -38.2% | -44.1% | 11% | 0% | -12.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -44.1% | 0% | -12.5% |
| 10% | -49.5% | 0% | -20.9% |
| 15% | -54.3% | 0% | -28.5% |
| 20% | -58.8% | 0% | -35.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $302 | $302 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Lourence Ilagan win the PDC World Darts Championship? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $145 | $0 | −$145 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 15 | $302 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-18? | Apr 23 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Feb 27 | $573 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lourence Ilagan win the PDC World Darts Championship? | Dec 10 | $290 | −$145 | -50% |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Dec 10 | $103 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Nov 15 | $103 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Aug 18 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Oilers vs. Panthers | Aug 18 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-04-17? | Jun 17 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 17 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 17 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Everton win on 2024-12-07? | Feb 01 | $111 | $0 | +0% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League? | Feb 01 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025? | Jan 22 | $280 | −$74 | -26% |
| Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024? | Jan 22 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting? | Nov 15 | $4,925 | −$5 | -0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Elec | Nov 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential El | Nov 15 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Nov 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Ele | Nov 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Nov 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi | Nov 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Chris Christie win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Elec | Nov 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Biden wins the Popular Vote? | Nov 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Kanye West win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election | Nov 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Kamala Harris drop out in August? | Sep 13 | $790 | +$1 | +0% |