trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | -62.1% | -65.7% | 9% | 9% | -53.1% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -57.5% | -61.6% | 12% | 8% | -47.8% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -57.5% | -61.6% | 12% | 8% | -47.8% |
| all | 25 | -57.5% | -61.6% | 12% | 8% | -47.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -61.6% | 8% | -47.8% |
| 10% | -65.3% | 8% | -52.8% |
| 15% | -68.6% | 8% | -57.3% |
| 20% | -71.7% | 4% | -61.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $200 | $198 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $25 | $21 | −$4 (-16%) |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Will Steven Gerrard be the next manager of Manchester City FC? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $9 | $1 | −$8 (-88%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$4 | -19% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-05-31? | Jun 20 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 20 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 1 Scotland? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 20 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? | Jun 20 | $107 | −$107 | -100% |
| Will Kosovo win on 2026-05-31? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-01? | Jun 20 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 3 Ecuador? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco? | Jun 20 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list? | Jun 20 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 20 | $85 | −$60 | -70% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $53 | +$147 | +276% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $27 | −$6 | -22% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $21 | +$8 | +36% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$3 | -16% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 13 | $53 | −$7 | -13% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 06 | $107 | −$14 | -13% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31? | May 31 | $21 | $0 | +2% |