Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4E
0x4ecd…2e83
crypto · 435 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$534 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$534 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$534
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses380 / 55
Open positions0
Markets (closed)435 / 435
History coverage32d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 435 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$44
14 days−$158
30 days−$534
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $225 $0 −$225 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$12 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 08 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 08 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 08 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 08 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 08 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 08 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 08 $6 +$22 +400%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 08 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 08 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 08 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 08 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$548
world 3% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 172 -1.3% -10.7% 86% 20% -11.9%
≤30d 435 -1.6% -11.0% 87% 16% -13.4%
≤90d 435 -1.6% -11.0% 87% 16% -13.4%
all 435 -1.6% -11.0% 87% 16% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.0% 16% -13.4%
10% -19.5% 10% -21.7%
15% -27.3% 6% -29.2%
20% -34.4% 5% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 871 history records