trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Yes | 27¢ | 28¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-15%) |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13? | Yes | 90¢ | 0¢ | $51 | $0 | −$51 (-100%) |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 14 | $76 | +$3 | +3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | Jun 14 | $9 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$1 | -47% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 13 | $96 | +$3 | +3% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$3 | +182% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | Jun 12 | $4 | −$2 | -40% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $18 | −$9 | -51% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +43% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$2 | +165% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +60% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $41 | +$5 | +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? | Jun 11 | $6 | $0 | -8% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | Jun 10 | $11 | +$2 | +16% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | Jun 10 | $9 | +$4 | +48% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | Jun 10 | $10 | +$3 | +27% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | Jun 10 | $11 | −$2 | -21% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | Jun 09 | $10 | +$2 | +22% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | Jun 09 | $13 | −$7 | -53% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | Jun 09 | $12 | +$2 | +15% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | Jun 09 | $7 | +$1 | +10% |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 07 | $7 | +$10 | +134% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 24 | +18.1% | +6.8% | 67% | 50% | -5.4% |
| ≤30d | 24 | +18.1% | +6.8% | 67% | 50% | -5.4% |
| ≤90d | 24 | +18.1% | +6.8% | 67% | 50% | -5.4% |
| all | 24 | +18.1% | +6.8% | 67% | 50% | -5.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +6.8% | 50% | -5.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -3.4% | 29% | -14.5% |
| 15% | -12.7% | 25% | -22.7% |
| 20% | -21.3% | 17% | -30.3% |