Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4E
0x4edf…f16f
sports · 148 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$152 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$145 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$55
Realized−$145
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses63 / 78
Est. fees paid−$24
Open positions7
Markets (closed)141 / 148
History coverage17d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day13.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 7 History 141 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days+$1
14 days−$92
30 days−$145
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 42¢ 70¢ $10 $17 +$7 (+68%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Hurricanes 53¢ 52¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5) Giron 57¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+75%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 57¢ 26¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-54%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Frances Tiafoe 48¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Daria Snigur 55¢ 14¢ $10 $3 −$7 (-74%)
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5) Shelton 44¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 20¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Netherlands 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Duckworth (+1.5) Lehecka 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Tallon Griekspoor 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5) Ruud 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev Jesper de Jong 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 7? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Zizou Bergs 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 6? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Casper Ruud 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Busta Thanasi Kokkinakis 29¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Quentin Halys vs Sho Shimabukuro Quentin Halys 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $13 +$12 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$13 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Boulter (-1.5) vs Cristian (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 +$12 +114%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $10 +$13 +129%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $20 −$16 -77%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 +$7 +140%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $8 −$8 -99%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5) Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $12 +$21 +176%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $10 +$16 +158%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Duckworth (+1.5) Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $42 +$34 +83%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $15 +$15 +101%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $14 +$14 +97%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $6 +$5 +86%
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Damm (+1.5) Jun 10 $10 +$5 +48%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $71 +$36 +50%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 10 $7 −$6 -99%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $1 $0 -48%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 10 $5 $0 -3%
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Jun 10 $10 +$5 +52%
Set Handicap: Anisimova (-1.5) vs Siegemund (+1.5) Jun 10 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +22%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $15 −$10 -63%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$132
crypto 10% −$29
other 1% +$11
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $6 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 26m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 100¢ $25 30m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 48¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $43 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 42¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $13 1h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 55¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Hurricanes 53¢ $9 5h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra SELL Solana Sierra 8¢ $5 5h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse BUY Gabriela Ruse 37¢ $5 6h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 44¢ $9 6h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 52¢ $8 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-21.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 -6.3% -15.2% 49% 46% -9.4%
≤30d 141 -13.5% -21.7% 45% 41% -19.1%
≤90d 141 -13.5% -21.7% 45% 41% -19.1%
all 141 -13.5% -21.7% 45% 41% -19.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.7% 41% -19.1%
10% -29.2% 37% -26.9%
15% -36.0% 34% -33.9%
20% -42.3% 29% -40.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $54.52 · official $59.61 · 271 history records