trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +4.2% | -5.7% | 43% | 43% | -18.4% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +119.2% | +98.3% | 55% | 55% | +61.9% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +119.2% | +98.3% | 55% | 55% | +61.9% |
| all | 21 | +89.4% | +71.4% | 62% | 62% | +44.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +71.4% | 62% | +44.8% |
| 10% | +55.0% | 57% | +30.9% |
| 15% | +40.0% | 52% | +18.3% |
| 20% | +26.3% | 43% | +6.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 12¢ | $163 | $237 | +$74 (+45%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 49¢ | 50¢ | $98 | $101 | +$3 (+3%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 6¢ | $84 | $59 | −$24 (-29%) |
| Will Jiří Lehečka be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $56 | $58 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jaume Munar | Zizou Bergs | 57¢ | 57¢ | $57 | $57 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $39 | $40 | +$2 (+4%) |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $35 | −$5 (-12%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Tommy Paul be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Yes | 0¢ | 1¢ | $8 | $21 | +$14 (+180%) |
| Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $10 | −$30 (-75%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul | Jun 21 | $135 | −$134 | -99% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $63 | −$42 | -67% |
| Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe | Jun 20 | $72 | +$28 | +40% |
| Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | Jun 19 | $40 | +$60 | +150% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $48 | +$52 | +108% |
| Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Yannick Hanfmann | Jun 17 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | Jun 15 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik | Jun 12 | $6 | +$4 | +61% |
| Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard | Jun 12 | $34 | +$30 | +87% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 05 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 28 | $154 | +$370 | +240% |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parli | Mar 09 | $240 | −$235 | -98% |
| Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga? | Feb 28 | $5 | −$3 | -50% |
| Drake Bulldogs vs. Valparaiso Beacons | Feb 26 | $13 | +$7 | +49% |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Feb 23 | $1 | +$1 | +59% |
| Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Feb 22 | $3 | +$1 | +29% |
| Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Feb 22 | $5 | +$9 | +169% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 22 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Feb 22 | $5 | +$12 | +221% |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Feb 18 | $9 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Feb 16 | $2 | +$7 | +280% |