trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -24.2% | -31.5% | 50% | 50% | +9.0% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +60.9% | +45.6% | 29% | 29% | -49.1% |
| ≤90d | 24 | +12.0% | +1.3% | 38% | 33% | -20.0% |
| all | 24 | +12.0% | +1.3% | 38% | 33% | -20.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +1.3% | 33% | -20.0% |
| 10% | -8.4% | 33% | -27.7% |
| 15% | -17.2% | 29% | -34.7% |
| 20% | -25.4% | 21% | -41.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 67¢ | 69¢ | $502 | $521 | +$19 (+4%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 43¢ | 42¢ | $258 | $255 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $192 | $190 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 64¢ | 62¢ | $192 | $188 | −$4 (-2%) |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 61¢ | 62¢ | $183 | $184 | +$2 (+1%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 80¢ | 80¢ | $168 | $167 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 81¢ | 81¢ | $81 | $81 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $62 | $62 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 67¢ | 68¢ | $34 | $34 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $8 | $8 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $66 | +$34 | +52% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $17 | −$17 | -98% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $12 | −$7 | -61% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $894 | −$640 | -72% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 25 | $245 | +$197 | +80% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | May 23 | $99 | −$56 | -57% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | May 23 | $44 | −$18 | -41% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17? | May 17 | $110 | +$38 | +35% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17? | May 17 | $49 | +$29 | +59% |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-17? | May 17 | $13 | −$2 | -14% |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17? | May 17 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw? | May 12 | $46 | +$152 | +330% |
| Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12? | May 12 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12? | May 12 | $88 | +$37 | +42% |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | May 10 | $9 | −$9 | -97% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? | May 10 | $273 | +$121 | +44% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? | May 10 | $20 | −$19 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $48 | −$3 | -6% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 01 | $35 | −$34 | -99% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 16 | $39 | −$39 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 15 | $26 | +$45 | +177% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me | Apr 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? | Apr 14 | $20 | $0 | +0% |